FAQ

What is the impact of your system on the financial markets?

In order for an instrument to have a significant effect, the relative trading volume has to be substantial. To avoid these problems, we only offer analysis for instruments with large trading volumes. Usually it is easier to short sell these instruments, either directly or via leveraged products.

If your forecasts work - why share?

Having grown tired of "bad advice", charting for hours and reading tons of information daily, we designed alfazen for our in-house use to help us improve our profits and save us time. But since the development of our forecasts and the system maintenance requires substantial resources, we decided to offer the service to the public.

Since we are active users of alfazen we are committed to the quality of the system and we are also restrictive to its uncontrolled spread. Further we are quite unwilling to share our forecasts with professional asset managers at larger firms that have possibility to affect the market considerably.

Who is responsible if your forecasts go wrong?

 

Our forecasts are only to be used as a supplement to other financial information. We assume that our users are well aware of the risks associated with trading on financial markets.

On average our hit ratio is roughly 60% (although it varies heavily depending on the market volatility and macro events) and the forecasts need to be handled wisely and with care. We take no responsibility whatsoever for the outcome of your transactions. All transactions are made at your own risk.

What is the basis for your choice of markets / instruments?

As mentioned earlier, we developed alfazen initially for our own usage and we are the primary users of the systems. We use it daily for our own trades with successful results, so the choice of markets/instruments has been made preliminary on the basis of our own needs.

How are the cells coloured?

We have found that going over the table is a tedious and time consuming process. To ease this process, we colorise the cells. Green cells (of varying intensity) indicate a rise, while red cells (of varying intensity) indicate a fall.

What do the numbers in the table refer to?

The values displayed in the tables are the forecasts of each financial instrument for the defined forthcoming periods.

Each cell in the table reflects the magnitude and the probability of change in the instrument for the coming periods, as per the generated forecast. The numbers may of course fluctuate during the period. While the main value represents the magnitude of the change, the superscripted value reflects the relative probability of the change. The latter value can be seen as the tension before it is released - the higher the value, the more tension.

It is quite important to be aware that the forecasts reflect a trend for the period which can be happening during, before or slightly after the period. It is important, therefore, to be cautious. On account of this, we strongly urge you to follow up on recommendations and control any deviations with a proper "stop-loss".

What is the basis for your prediction periods?

Our predictions are mainly intended for traders with a time horizon between one week and 3-6 months.

Due to the financial markets nature and dependency on macro events (e.g. sudden changes in interest rates or the outcome of an OPEC meeting), we find very short prognosis both less accurate and less reliable. This means that alfaZen is not primarily for day traders.

How reliable are your predictions?

Our prognoses can be considered as "super" technical analyses, incorporating many different methods, where the data is first analysed for further use to find relatable factors between market events using AI. Our prognoses are therefore as good as prognoses can be considering the nature of financial markets, the underlying technical analysis tools and the used AI methods deployed. alfazen provides much finer and more reliable predictions than any ordinary set of technical analysis tools, along with an overview that is superior to any human equivalent.